Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.044549 0.051970 0.060231 0.070108 0.081598 0.094545 0.110244
2025-10-26 0.033229 0.042965 0.054944 0.070766 0.091121 0.116444 0.150372
2025-11-02 0.027100 0.037914 0.052279 0.072754 0.101206 0.139381 0.194584
2025-11-09 0.021644 0.032310 0.047401 0.070301 0.104202 0.152605 0.227118
2025-11-16 0.018281 0.028862 0.044668 0.069987 0.109573 0.169198 0.266079
2025-11-23 0.015632 0.025943 0.042112 0.069292 0.113906 0.184386 0.304545
2025-11-30 0.013938 0.024207 0.041036 0.070593 0.121302 0.204955 0.353939
2025-12-07 0.012179 0.022062 0.038931 0.069788 0.124937 0.219630 0.395227
2025-12-14 0.010546 0.019871 0.036406 0.067823 0.126164 0.230156 0.430422
2025-12-21 0.009190 0.017971 0.034113 0.065900 0.127093 0.240082 0.465551
2025-12-28 0.008468 0.017151 0.033664 0.067300 0.134295 0.262181 0.526091
2026-01-04 0.007716 0.016159 0.032746 0.067640 0.139435 0.280900 0.582331
2026-01-11 0.007014 0.015191 0.031781 0.067828 0.144439 0.300254 0.643050
2026-01-18 0.006471 0.014479 0.031245 0.068836 0.151284 0.324207 0.716642
2026-01-25 0.006077 0.014028 0.031190 0.070847 0.160505 0.354195 0.807093
2026-02-01 0.005372 0.012786 0.029264 0.068473 0.159768 0.362741 0.851311
2026-02-08 0.004908 0.012030 0.028313 0.068170 0.163645 0.381861 0.922005
2026-02-15 0.004471 0.011275 0.027266 0.067494 0.166540 0.399066 0.990420
2026-02-22 0.004203 0.010895 0.027045 0.068761 0.174234 0.428332 1.091641
2026-03-01 0.003842 0.010229 0.026048 0.067977 0.176770 0.445559 1.165329
2026-03-08 0.003458 0.009452 0.024677 0.066063 0.176194 0.455070 1.220655
2026-03-15 0.003118 0.008743 0.023389 0.064189 0.175474 0.464112 1.275946
2026-03-22 0.002962 0.008513 0.023317 0.065553 0.183535 0.496734 1.398574